Republicans Still Heavy Favorites In Georgia Runoffs That Will Determine Control Of The Senate

( The control of the U.S. Senate will come down to two runoff elections in Georgia that will take place in January.

Democrats believe they are going to win both of those races, which would give them the theoretical power in the upper chamber. If both Democratic candidates were to win the runoff races, there would be a 50-50 tie of Republicans and Democrats in the Senate, and Vice President Kamala Harris would have the tiebreaking vote.

Democrats are set to pour tons of money into these runoff elections in hopes of gaining control of the Senate. In fact, groups have already dumped more than $173 million into the Senate races this election cycle trying to convince voters to make a change.

Even more spending is predicted to come from the Democrats before the runoff elections. But if things follow the way they normally do in Georgia, they stand little chance of actually succeeding.

In Georgia, Republican candidates have one every runoff vote that’s been held there since runoff elections first began in 1992.

Republicans have a solid stronghold in Georgia, and they’ve built their base and following this election cycle through grassroots efforts. In fact, even CNN admits that Republicans “have a big head start in terms of collaboration on the ground, voter selection and messaging.”

Dick Durbin, the Senate Minority Whip, said Democrats will try their best to convince voters to go blue in the runoff elections. Their sales pitch, he said, will essentially be:

“Basically, to America: You’ve elected a president now. Now, give him a chance to govern. If Mitch McConnell is looming over every decision with a big ‘no’ button, it makes it very difficult.”

Turnout for runoff elections are typically always lower than General Elections. That’s because voting is typically held during the winter holidays, when politics isn’t often top-of-mind for people.

Republicans David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler are therefore heavy favorites over their Democratic challengers, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, respectively.

Jack Kingston, a former GOP representative from Georgia, said voters in Georgia are unlikely to give Democratic leadership in Congress the ability to just push through whatever agenda they’d like with President-elect Joe Biden in the White House. This is especially pertinent when it comes to a racial agenda. As Kingston said:

“There is nothing that motivates hard-core Republican voters more than the thought of Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer legislation being rubber-stamped into law by Joe Biden. Americans like a balance.”

Schumer also isn’t doing a very good job convincing Georgians that they should vote Democrat, either. He said this weekend that if the Democrats win the two Georgia seats and gain control of the Senate, they will “change America.” That’s not something that many Georgians are likely to want to do, even if they did narrowly vote to elect Biden president.

A change in demographics did bring some overall change to Georgia, but it’s still a big Republican state. Democrats needed 16 seats to flip the Georgia House of Representatives, for example, but they were only able to claim one.